Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.282615 0.329268 0.381381 0.443944 0.517070 0.599908 0.700976
2025-01-12 0.205618 0.265732 0.340274 0.439678 0.569060 0.732179 0.954134
2025-01-19 0.167135 0.231897 0.318170 0.441865 0.615320 0.850895 1.196857
2025-01-26 0.147659 0.217103 0.315196 0.464456 0.687003 1.008398 1.511219
2025-02-02 0.132726 0.205158 0.312781 0.485208 0.756371 1.169502 1.852593
2025-02-09 0.119336 0.192846 0.307103 0.498778 0.814926 1.320259 2.198401
2025-02-16 0.106658 0.179435 0.297262 0.503364 0.858380 1.451213 2.529343
2025-02-23 0.094806 0.165492 0.284303 0.500271 0.887464 1.560686 2.837675
2025-03-02 0.083005 0.149907 0.266310 0.485564 0.893484 1.629837 3.082378
2025-03-09 0.077317 0.144284 0.264744 0.499568 0.952394 1.800033 3.536914
2025-03-16 0.070677 0.135995 0.257207 0.501229 0.987895 1.930526 3.932554
2025-03-23 0.065667 0.130109 0.253314 0.509121 1.036036 2.090687 4.409330
2025-03-30 0.058945 0.120189 0.240752 0.498777 1.047414 2.181631 4.761653
2025-04-06 0.053560 0.112313 0.231324 0.493702 1.069251 2.297497 5.186712
2025-04-13 0.049546 0.106750 0.225873 0.496169 1.107297 2.452369 5.721495
2025-04-20 0.047966 0.106165 0.230736 0.521613 1.199400 2.737878 6.601264
2025-04-27 0.046289 0.105140 0.234489 0.544988 1.289883 3.031854 7.547006
2025-05-04 0.044101 0.102685 0.234747 0.560275 1.363363 3.296002 8.460444
2025-05-11 0.041388 0.098672 0.230968 0.565441 1.412984 3.509397 9.277941
2025-05-18 0.038368 0.093564 0.224021 0.561957 1.440551 3.671871 9.987081
2025-05-25 0.034857 0.086843 0.212443 0.545388 1.432407 3.742414 10.458341
2025-06-01 0.033504 0.085335 0.213427 0.561165 1.511272 4.050717 11.642128
2025-06-08 0.031508 0.081952 0.209325 0.563037 1.552977 4.265264 12.591829